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Showing posts with the label geopolitical risk-metric

A resurgence of policy and geopolitical tensions

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  The markets could be jolted by implied bond volatility    Recently World Gold Council [WGC] published their report, Gold Market Commentary: Positioning revisited! Key focal points said, Gold drags itself higher! Gold prices edged up 0.3% to finish July at US$3,299/oz. A stronger US dollar contributed to positive returns in all major currencies. Year-to-date, gold remains up 26%.    Our Gold Return Attribution Model (GRAM) suggests a positive contribution from a rise in inflation expectations and tariff tensions via our geopolitical risk metric (both Risk and Uncertainty factors). Momentum factors also contributed positively, while a stronger US dollar proved a heavy drag on returns in July.    Gold ETF inflows of US$3.2bn (23t) were split almost equally between North America (US$1.4bn, 12t) and Europe (US$1.7bn, 11t), while Asia slightly increased (US$0.1bn,0.8t) and other gold ETFs (-US$0.1bn, -1t) experienced mild outflows. COMEX manage...