GJ Town India

Gold and silver's CPI soften over steady fed rate   At the juncture Colin Shah, MD, Kama Jewelry said, “The decision by the US Fed to keep the policy rate intact for the seventh consecutive time comes as per the industry expectations. Although the inflation has cooled down, it has still not come under the Fed’s expected range, thereby deferring the possibility of three rate cuts, which we could have possibly seen during this calendar year.   As per the forecast by Fed, it has hinted that it may start slashing rates from next year onwards wherein a rate cut of 100bps is in focus. However, we will have to wait and watch how the inflation numbers play out, which will further decide the possibility of rate cuts next year.   Gold prices saw some softness post Fed’s announcement in domestic market. Since Q2 of financial year is usually a dull phase due to monsoon and shraadh, we expect the prices to remain dampened during this period. Nevertheless, we hope for the demand ...

The myth regarding gold & what does the data tell us?   Recently ABC Bullion highlighted the myth & asked, does gold need the dollar to fall? One of the interesting myths regarding gold as an investment is one that suggests it only does well in periods the US dollar (USD) is falling. Indeed, some analysts go so far as to say that it’s the anti-dollar.   It’s of course worth noting briefly that up until 1971, US dollars were formally backed by gold, at a formal price of close to $35 per troy ounce (oz), meaning you could exchange USD $35 for an ounce of gold through the banking system.   This backing was brought to an end during the Nixon administration, and it has now been just over 50 years since the US abandoned the gold standard. Back to the myth regarding gold and its relationship with the USD, in simple terms, some believe that anytime the USD is going up in value, the gold price will be going down, and vice versa. A detailed examination of market hist...

Swiss gold exports hit 10 month high in March   World Gold Council (WGC) j ust released, Gold Market Commentary, under the heading of Inflation, falling yields and the US dollar pushed gold higher, said, “Looking forward, we expect inflation concerns and the direction of rates to remain an important driver of gold prices, while rising Covid cases could weigh on consumer demand but support investment.”   Looking ahead the Commentary says, rates dominate but Covid poses risks! Rising inflation expectations and questions around central bank tapering are front-and-centre for investors. Despite recent increases in inflation, central banks have maintained their accommodative stance in words and actions.   Markets remain nervously poised for the outcome of rising inflation and central banks' reactions to it. While yields in the US moderated during April, they continued to rise across Europe and parts of Asia. Gold’s increased sensitivity to changes in interest rates mean...