The new Indian consumers trend at WEF
10
Mega Trends appeared:
How
India Will Consume in 2030
India
to witness a 4x growth in consumer spends!
According
to Nikhil Prasad Ojha and Zara Ingilizian, “The new Indian consumers will be
richer and more willing to spend, and unlike their predecessors, will have very
specific preferences.”
Over
the next decade, consumption in fast-growth consumer markets such as China,
India and Southeast Asia will be reshaped by the Fourth Industrial Revolution
and more than one billion first-time consumers. The Future of Consumption in
Fast-Growth Consumer Markets, a project in collaboration with Bain &
Company, focuses on the emerging markets that comprise more than 40% of the
world’s population. After studying China in 2017, for 2018 it turned its
attention to India.
India
is one of the fastest-growing economies in the world. By 2030, it is on course
to witness a 4x growth in consumer spend. It will remain one of the youngest
nations on the planet and will be home to more than one billion internet users.
The new Indian consumer will be richer and more willing to spend, and unlike
her predecessors, she will have very specific preferences.
The
following 10 mega trends for India in 2030 can help businesses and policy
leaders envision the India of the future. The trends draw upon the research and
consumer survey conducted by the World Economic Forum and Bain for the Insight
Report on the “Future of Consumption in Fast-Growth Consumer Markets: India”.
1. The Indian middle class will truly
come into its own:
By
2030, India will move from being an economy led by the bottom of the pyramid,
to one led by the middle class. Nearly 80% of households in 2030 will be
middle-income, up from about 50% today. The middle class will drive 75% of
consumer spending in 2030.
2. Upward income mobility will drive
growth across all consumption categories:
As
140 million households move into the middle class and another 20 million move
into the high-income bracket, they will spend 2-2.5x more on essential
categories and 3-4x more on services. Upper-middle-income and high-income
entrants will drive a 15-20% increase in the ownership of durables.
3. Half the incremental rupees will go
into buying more:
Half
the incremental consumer spends by 2030 will be simply to buy more of the
products and services being consumed today. Affordable options will continue to
be important. The remaining half will be split nearly equally on upgrading to
premium offerings and including new variants in existing routines, looking good
and staying connected
4. Aspirations are fast converging
across urban and rural India:
The
internet and smartphones have significantly bridged the information divide
between consumers in urban and rural India. Beyond the top 40 cities, developed
rural and small urban towns already have a very similar income profile. Future efforts to improve physical and digital
connectivity, and the use of innovative distribution channels, will enhance
well-being and unlock the true consumption potential of rural India.
5. Millennial and Generation Z
preferences will significantly shape the market:
These
consumers will be able and willing to spend more but will also be more
discerning. In 2030, 77% of Indians will be born in the late 1980s and onwards.
These youngest Indians already exhibit the greatest willingness to increase
spending over the next 10 years, but they are also highly discerning about what
they consider "best in class" offerings in every consumption category.
6. Digitally influenced consumption will
become the norm:
"Connectedness"
will drive a significant difference in preferences, even at the same income
level. As many as 50-70% of the most digitally connected consumers are as of today,
across income levels, already use digital platforms for product discovery and
pre-purchase research. By 2030, more than 40% of all purchases will be highly
digitally influenced, up from 20-22% today.
7. India’s eternal hunt for value will
aid the growth of e-commerce:
Indian
consumers will be willing to adopt value-for-money brands that have "just
right" features and prices. India’s new consumers have aspirations to
consume more, but they are dispersed across tens of thousands of urban and
rural towns. Asset-light e-commerce models, supported by offline partnerships
and demand-aggregators, will help brands test out and reach these new markets
in a cost-efficient manner. Businesses will also have an opportunity to unlock
spend on new category extensions.
8. Technology-enabled new business
models:
Digital
platforms for renting and sharing will speak to this usership mindset, as well
as to the tech-savviness of future consumers. Subscription models, much like
today’s Bombay Shaving Club, Amazon India Grocery Pantry and Fab Bag, will
serve the value-conscious Indian keen to access new brands and products for a
small recurring spend.
9. Business, policy and civic society
leaders will collectively drive an inclusive:
India
presents a host of exciting business opportunities in the next decade. At the
same time, the next phase of India’s growth story offers stakeholders a chance
to shape a path of responsible and equitable growth, from which other
fast-growing markets can learn.
Building
on the momentum of collaborative efforts such as Skill India and Eat Right
India, public-private-civic-society partnerships can help tackle the three key
societal challenges facing India today.
10. Firms will thrive by innovating for
India:
Companies
will go a step beyond replicating Western models at low costs; they will
localize and personalize business models and product/service offerings
according to the unique preferences and constraints of their Indian consumer.
In
the past, companies that have sustained growth in India have been ones with an
insurgent mission, frontline obsession and strong owner’s mindset. This
"founder’s mentality" will be a critical capability for the future,
for small and established businesses alike. Entrepreneurial and agile
organizations will be best positioned to capture the full potential of
consumption opportunities in the vibrant and diverse market that is India.
India
in 2030 will be a playground for growth and innovation for consumer
businesses—both Indian and global, established and emerging. The transformations
in the Indian consumer’s income, propensity for consumption, awareness and
tech-savviness will create massive opportunities.
India
in 2030 will also be a platform for stakeholders to shape a path of inclusive
and responsible growth, for fast-growing markets across the world to follow.
This
blog draws from the Insight Report "Future of Consumption in Fast Growth
Consumer Markets: India", published in January 2019 by the World Economic
Forum in collaboration with Bain & Company. Nikhil Prasad Ojha is partner
and head of Strategy practice, Bain & Company, India. Zara Ingilizian is
head of Future of Consumption, member of the Executive Committee, World
Economic Forum.
Comments
Post a Comment